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Elizabeth Prodromou: Perils of Timing and Problems of Legitimacy: Challenges to a Greek-Turkish Rapprochement
ABSTRACT

This paper addresses the central issue of timing as it relates to the possibilities for a normalization of Greek-Turkish relations in the post-Cold War period. The talk will address three main issues which have contributed to problematic timing: first, the divergent paths of democratization in Greece and Turkey since 1974 and 1982, respectively, concentrating on the former's efforts at qualitative improvements in a fully consolidated democracy versus the latter's relapse into modified authoritarianism; second, the regional context of European expansion, whereby responses by Athens and Ankara to Turkish entry into the customs union have been coupled with a strengthening of Greece's EU locus and an increasing ambiguity in Turkey's position in the EU; and, third, the deteriorating strategic context, in which Greek-Turkish relations have worsened precipitously since 1996--despite momentary windows of opportunity for normalization�due to bi-lateral and multi-lateral constraints. The paper concludes with an assessment of the legitimacy of each country within Euro-American political-economic and military architectures, an evaluation of the domestic legitimacy of each state, and some comments on prospects for a Greek-Turkish rapprochement.

Elizabeth Prodromou: Biographical Note

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